Now, to the charts, starting ... Once this number turns negative, the yield curve has inverted, which almost always signals a recession (although perhaps not for up to two years).

Business Insider reader Jim Laird created this animated chart tracking Treasury yield curves compared to the actual yield on a three-month Treasury. The yield curve is a line that plots a set of ...

This break, together with the weekly moving average convergence divergence indicator turning negative, suggests rising downside risk in the 10-year yield. The level to watch is 4.335%, the top of ...