NORFOLK, Va. — When I started as a professional meteorologist in 1980, long-range hurricane forecasts from the National Hurricane Center (NHC) went out three days, or 72 hours. It would be over 20 ...

Add Yahoo as a preferred source to see more of our stories on Google. It's a staple of every hurricane season: the forecast "cone of uncertainty," which warns the public of the projected path of a ...

The cone represents the probable track of the storm's center, with a 66% chance of it staying within the cone. Misinterpretations of the cone include assuming all impacts will occur within its ...

The 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season has been relatively quiet, especially since we're expecting above-average tropical activity this season. After a period of no tropical activity, the arrival of ...

The National Hurricane Center has announced that they’re redeveloping the famous cone of uncertainty to incorporate more forms of error. The current cone of ...

Our eLibrary offers over 25,000 IMF publications in multiple formats. This paper analyzes the inflation forecast errors over the period 2021Q1-2022Q3 using forecasts of core and headline inflation ...

It's a staple of every hurricane season: the forecast "cone of uncertainty," which warns the public of the projected path of a tropical depression, storm or hurricane. But there are some important ...