As a climatologist and a geographer, I am very interested in how weather and climate varies across geographical space. To that extent, how does the forecastability of weather vary from one location to ...

Due to the chaotic nature of the atmosphere, weather forecasts, even with ever improving numerical weather prediction models, eventually lose their accuracy. Meteorologists have a strong desire to ...

The old cone hasn't seen a major update since 2007, but a new version will represent additional types of historical error. 2026 Hurricane Season To Lean Below Average ...

Weather forecasts have gotten quite good over the years, but their temperatures aren’t always spot on — and the result when they underplay extremes can be lethal. Even a 1-degree difference in a ...

It's a staple of every hurricane season: the "cone of uncertainty," which extends out from the storm on forecasting maps to warn the public of the projected path of a tropical system. But there are ...

NORFOLK, Va. — When I started as a professional meteorologist in 1980, long-range hurricane forecasts from the National Hurricane Center (NHC) went out three days, or 72 hours. It would be over 20 ...

The 2025 hurricane season was a coming-of-age story for AI weather models, which have been around in some capacity since ...

The report said its new forecasting method meant better accuracy and understanding of the cost to the electricity system. Image: CrossBoundary Energy. The average cost of forecasting errors in the US ...